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Australian dollar update 27/09/2011


John From Moneycorp

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The Australian dollar suffered more losses over the week, as the European sovereign debt crisis lurched closer to the abyss, driving international investors to dump riskier assets – namely the higher yielding commodity currencies. The Australian dollar broke through parity against the US dollar for the first time in six weeks, as the American currency became the safe haven of choice during these unsettled times.

 

The poor manufacturing data coming from China saw the country’s growth contract further, suggesting that Australian trade will weaken in the months ahead.

 

The correlation between global demand and commodity prices held true: as demand fell, the price of gold and copper dropped sharply last week.

 

There was little indication of the future direction of Australian interest rates from the Reserve Bank of Australia, following the release of its Monetary Policy Committee minutes. They had discussed the possibility of an interest rate hike during their last meeting, but with international developments driving growth prospects, it remains likely that the next rate move will be downwards.

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